── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jan Choinski 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Hugo Grenier
Jan Choinski
25%75%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 8% / 92%
Grass: 34% / 66%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Hugo Grenier
5th · poor
Jan Choinski
45th · average
Return
Hugo Grenier
21th · below avg
Jan Choinski
22th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#183
model rank
#102
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
GBR
196cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Hugo Grenier■ Jan Choinski
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Grass1–0
Carpet0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Rotterdam | Hard | Q1 | Hugo Grenier | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2023-06-12 | Nottingham CH | Grass | R32 | Hugo Grenier | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-02-13 | Cherbourg CH | Hard | R16 | Jan Choinski | 6-2 6-1 |
| 2015-09-28 | France F20 | Carpet | SF | Jan Choinski | 6-2 6-3 |