── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 89% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Hugo Grenier
Daniel Merida Aguilar
11%89%
Hard: 15% / 85%
Clay: 7% / 93%
Grass: 47% / 53%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Hugo Grenier
5th · poor
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Return
Hugo Grenier
22th · below avg
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#183
model rank
#31
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ESP
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Hugo Grenier■ Daniel Merida Aguilar
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-29Villena CHHardSFHugo Grenier6-4 7-6(4)