── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrea Pellegrino 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrea Pellegrino
Daniel Evans
58%42%
Hard: 18% / 82%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 8% / 92%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrea Pellegrino
14th · poor
Daniel Evans
7th · poor
Return
Andrea Pellegrino
12th · poor
Daniel Evans
26th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#160
model rank
#182
Clay
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
GBR
185cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrea Pellegrino■ Daniel Evans
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-24 | Naples CH | Clay | R32 | Andrea Pellegrino | 6-3 1-6 6-4 |