── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrea Pellegrino a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrea Pellegrino
Roberto Carballes Baena
52%48%
Hard: 13% / 87%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 26% / 74%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrea Pellegrino
14th · poor
Roberto Carballes Baena
24th · below avg
Return
Andrea Pellegrino
12th · poor
Roberto Carballes Baena
45th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#160
model rank
#167
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ESP
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrea Pellegrino■ Roberto Carballes Baena
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–2
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | Perugia CH | Clay | R16 | Andrea Pellegrino | 4-6 7-5 6-3 |
| 2018-10-01 | Florence CH | Clay | QF | Roberto Carballes Baena | 6-2 6-1 |
| 2017-07-17 | San Benedetto Del Tronto CH | Clay | R32 | Roberto Carballes Baena | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2016-08-08 | Fano CH | Clay | R32 | Andrea Pellegrino | 6-2 7-5 |