── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Nicolas Jarry 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrea Pellegrino
Nicolas Jarry
42%58%
Hard: 15% / 85%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 7% / 93%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrea Pellegrino
14th · poor
Nicolas Jarry
85th · strong
Return
Andrea Pellegrino
12th · poor
Nicolas Jarry
10th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#160
model rank
#132
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
CHI
185cm
height
201cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrea Pellegrino■ Nicolas Jarry
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-27 | Estoril CH | Clay | QF | Andrea Pellegrino | 7-6(0) 5-7 6-1 |