── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 88% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrea Pellegrino
Frances Tiafoe
12%88%
Hard: 2% / 98%
Clay: 28% / 72%
Grass: 3% / 97%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrea Pellegrino
14th · poor
Frances Tiafoe
77th · strong
Return
Andrea Pellegrino
12th · poor
Frances Tiafoe
80th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#160
model rank
#13
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
USA
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrea Pellegrino■ Frances Tiafoe
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Andrea Pellegrino | 7-6(8) 6-1 |