── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Hugo Gaston 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrea Pellegrino
Hugo Gaston
37%63%
Hard: 9% / 91%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 18% / 82%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrea Pellegrino
14th · poor
Hugo Gaston
9th · poor
Return
Andrea Pellegrino
12th · poor
Hugo Gaston
61th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#160
model rank
#110
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
FRA
185cm
height
173cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrea Pellegrino■ Hugo Gaston
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay3–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | Q1 | Andrea Pellegrino | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2021-04-19 | Rome 1 CH | Clay | F | Andrea Pellegrino | 3-6 6-2 6-1 |
| 2020-08-31 | Cordenons CH | Clay | Q1 | Andrea Pellegrino | 6-7(5) 6-3 6-3 |

