── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Hugo Gaston 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Andrea Pellegrino
Hugo Gaston
37%63%
Hard: 9% / 91%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 18% / 82%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Andrea Pellegrino
14th · poor
Hugo Gaston
9th · poor
Return
Andrea Pellegrino
12th · poor
Hugo Gaston
61th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#160
model rank
#110
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
FRA
185cm
height
173cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Andrea Pellegrino■ Hugo Gaston
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay3–0
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayQ1Andrea Pellegrino6-1 6-3
2021-04-19Rome 1 CHClayFAndrea Pellegrino3-6 6-2 6-1
2020-08-31Cordenons CHClayQ1Andrea Pellegrino6-7(5) 6-3 6-3