── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrea Pellegrino a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrea Pellegrino
Luca Nardi
54%46%
Hard: 13% / 87%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 34% / 66%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrea Pellegrino
14th · poor
Luca Nardi
9th · poor
Return
Andrea Pellegrino
12th · poor
Luca Nardi
33th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#160
model rank
#175
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ITA
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrea Pellegrino■ Luca Nardi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R128 | Andrea Pellegrino | 4-6 6-3 6-3 |
| 2025-06-09 | Perugia CH | Clay | SF | Andrea Pellegrino | 7-6(5) 6-2 |