── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jesper De Jong 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Carlos Taberner
Jesper De Jong
35%65%
Hard: 20% / 80%
Clay: 28% / 72%
Grass: 30% / 70%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Carlos Taberner
4th · poor
Jesper De Jong
26th · below avg
Return
Carlos Taberner
51th · average
Jesper De Jong
46th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#169
model rank
#112
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
NED
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Carlos Taberner■ Jesper De Jong
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay3–0
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-20UmagClayQFCarlos Taberner7-5 6-3
2025-03-17Murcia CHClayFCarlos Taberner7-6(3) 4-6 6-2
2021-08-16Verona CHClayR32Carlos Taberner6-3 7-6(1)