Matteo BerrettiniMatteo Berrettini
3–5
head to head
Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev
── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Matteo Berrettini
Alexander Zverev
17%83%
Hard: 19% / 81%
Clay: 20% / 80%
Grass: 66% / 34%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Return
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#38
model rank
#4
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
GER
196cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Matteo Berrettini■ Alexander Zverev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard0–3
Clay2–2
Grass1–0
── 8 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR64Alexander Zverev6-3 6-4
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersClayR32Matteo Berrettini2-6 6-3 7-5
2023-07-03WimbledonGrassR32Matteo Berrettini6-3 7-6(4) 7-6(5)
2021-11-15Tour FinalsHardRRAlexander Zverev7-6(7) 1-0 RET
2021-05-03Madrid MastersClayFAlexander Zverev6-7(8) 6-4 6-3
2019-10-07Shanghai MastersHardSFAlexander Zverev6-3 6-4
2019-05-13Rome MastersClayR32Matteo Berrettini7-5 7-5
2018-05-14Rome MastersClayR32Alexander Zverev7-5 6-2