── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Stan Wawrinka
73%27%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 80% / 20%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Stan Wawrinka
69th · average
Return
Matteo Berrettini
39th · below avg
Stan Wawrinka
16th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#37
model rank
#129
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
SUI
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Stan Wawrinka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Grass1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | R128 | Matteo Berrettini | 7-6(4) 7-6(3) 6-0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Matteo Berrettini | 6-7(7) 7-6(16) 7-6(7) 7-6(5) |