── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Gael Monfils
61%39%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 79% / 21%
Grass: 81% / 19%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Gael Monfils
62th · average
Return
Matteo Berrettini
39th · below avg
Gael Monfils
72th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#37
model rank
#73
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
FRA
196cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Gael Monfils
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-24 | Dubai | Hard | R32 | Matteo Berrettini | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2022-01-17 | Australian Open | Hard | QF | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 6-4 3-6 3-6 6-2 |
| 2021-02-02 | Atp Cup | Hard | RR | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2019-08-26 | US Open | Hard | QF | Matteo Berrettini | 3-6 6-3 6-2 3-6 7-6(5) |