── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Adrian Mannarino
74%26%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 95% / 5%
Grass: 74% / 26%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Return
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#38
model rank
#130
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
FRA
196cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Adrian Mannarino
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R128 | Matteo Berrettini | 4-6 7-5 7-5 |
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R128 | Adrian Mannarino | 7-5 7-6(5) |
| 2018-01-15 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-4 6-4 6-4 |