── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Matteo Berrettini 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Matteo Berrettini
Dusan Lajovic
71%29%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 94% / 6%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Dusan Lajovic
40th · below avg
Return
Matteo Berrettini
35th · below avg
Dusan Lajovic
45th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#40
model rank
#125
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
SRB
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Matteo Berrettini■ Dusan Lajovic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16Rio de JaneiroClayR16Matteo Berrettini3-6 6-4 6-2