── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Grigor Dimitrov
52%48%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 65% / 35%
Grass: 65% / 35%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Grigor Dimitrov
86th · strong
Return
Matteo Berrettini
35th · below avg
Grigor Dimitrov
71th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#40
model rank
#52
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
BUL
196cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Grigor Dimitrov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Wimbledon | Grass | R32 | Grigor Dimitrov | 6-3 6-4 3-6 5-7 6-3 |
| 2019-10-21 | Vienna | Hard | R16 | Matteo Berrettini | 7-6(5) 7-6(1) |
| 2019-04-15 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R64 | Grigor Dimitrov | 7-5 6-4 |