── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini 88% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Federico Coria
88%12%
Hard: 90% / 10%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 98% / 2%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Federico Coria
1th · poor
Return
Matteo Berrettini
39th · below avg
Federico Coria
27th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#37
model rank
#184
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ARG
196cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Federico Coria
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay4–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Buenos Aires | Clay | R32 | Matteo Berrettini | 7-5 7-5 |
| 2021-05-31 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Matteo Berrettini | 6-3 6-3 6-2 |
| 2020-09-14 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Matteo Berrettini | 7-5 6-1 |
| 2017-07-17 | San Benedetto Del Tronto CH | Clay | SF | Matteo Berrettini | 6-2 6-4 |