── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Taro Daniel
73%27%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 93% / 7%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Taro Daniel
18th · poor
Return
Matteo Berrettini
35th · below avg
Taro Daniel
22th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#40
model rank
#138
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
JPN
196cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Taro Daniel
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay3–1
Hard1–1
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Valencia CH | Clay | R32 | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Taro Daniel | 7-6(5) 0-6 6-3 |
| 2022-10-17 | Naples | Hard | QF | Matteo Berrettini | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2021-05-31 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Matteo Berrettini | 6-0 6-4 4-6 6-4 |
| 2021-04-19 | Belgrade | Clay | SF | Matteo Berrettini | 6-1 6-7(5) 6-0 |
| 2018-04-30 | Istanbul | Clay | R32 | Taro Daniel | 7-5 6-3 |