── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Marcos Giron
60%40%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 78% / 22%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Marcos Giron
62th · average
Return
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg
Marcos Giron
71th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#38
model rank
#65
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
USA
196cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Marcos Giron
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Grass0–1
Hard0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Matteo Berrettini | 6-7(3) 7-6(6) 6-1 |
| 2024-06-17 | Halle | Grass | R16 | Marcos Giron | 3-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2020-11-02 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Marcos Giron | 7-6(3) 6-7(0) 7-5 |