── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Thanasi Kokkinakis
79%21%
Hard: 77% / 23%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 93% / 7%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Thanasi Kokkinakis
83th · strong
Return
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg
Thanasi Kokkinakis
54th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#38
model rank
#149
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
AUS
196cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Thanasi Kokkinakis
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-23 | Davis Cup Finals SF: ITA vs AUS | Hard | RR | Matteo Berrettini | 6-7(6) 6-3 7-5 |