── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Jordan Thompson
64%36%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 78% / 22%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Jordan Thompson
58th · average
Return
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg
Jordan Thompson
64th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#38
model rank
#80
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
AUS
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Jordan Thompson
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-30 | Brisbane | Hard | R32 | Jordan Thompson | 3-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2019-08-26 | US Open | Hard | R64 | Matteo Berrettini | 7-5 7-6(5) 4-6 6-1 |
| 2015-05-11 | Italy F9 | Clay | R16 | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 6-3 |