── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Matteo Berrettini a slight 50% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Matteo Berrettini
Cameron Norrie
50%50%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 53% / 47%
Grass: 80% / 20%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Cameron Norrie
66th · average
Return
Matteo Berrettini
39th · below avg
Cameron Norrie
78th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#37
model rank
#39
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
GBR
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Matteo Berrettini■ Cameron Norrie
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–0
Grass1–0
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-20ViennaHardR16Matteo Berrettini7-6(6) 6-7(9) 6-4
2025-01-13Australian OpenHardR128Matteo Berrettini6-7(4) 6-4 6-1 6-3
2021-06-14Queen's ClubGrassFMatteo Berrettini6-4 6-7(5) 6-3