── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Cameron Norrie a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Cameron Norrie
48%52%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 53% / 47%
Grass: 72% / 28%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Return
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#38
model rank
#36
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
GBR
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Cameron Norrie
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Grass1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Vienna | Hard | R16 | Matteo Berrettini | 7-6(6) 6-7(9) 6-4 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Matteo Berrettini | 6-7(4) 6-4 6-1 6-3 |
| 2021-06-14 | Queen's Club | Grass | F | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 6-7(5) 6-3 |