── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Alexandre Muller
75%25%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 95% / 5%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Alexandre Muller
27th · below avg
Return
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg
Alexandre Muller
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#38
model rank
#133
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
FRA
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Alexandre Muller
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R128 | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 6-2 |