── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Arthur Rinderknech
51%49%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 81% / 19%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Arthur Rinderknech
91th · elite
Return
Matteo Berrettini
39th · below avg
Arthur Rinderknech
20th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#37
model rank
#45
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
FRA
196cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Arthur Rinderknech
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
Hard0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 6-4 6-4 |
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-08-28 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Arthur Rinderknech | 6-4 5-3 RET |

