── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Arthur Rinderknech
55%45%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 84% / 16%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Arthur Rinderknech
87th · strong
Return
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg
Arthur Rinderknech
19th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#38
model rank
#49
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
FRA
196cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Arthur Rinderknech
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-08-28 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Arthur Rinderknech | 6-4 5-3 RET |