── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Matteo Berrettini a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Matteo Berrettini
Arthur Rinderknech
51%49%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 81% / 19%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Arthur Rinderknech
91th · elite
Return
Matteo Berrettini
39th · below avg
Arthur Rinderknech
20th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#37
model rank
#45
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
FRA
196cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Matteo Berrettini■ Arthur Rinderknech
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay2–0
Hard0–1
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-29Roland GarrosClayR64Matteo Berrettini6-4 6-4 6-4
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR64Matteo Berrettini6-4 6-4 6-4
2023-08-28Us OpenHardR64Arthur Rinderknech6-4 5-3 RET