── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Aleksandar Vukic
75%25%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 89% / 11%
Grass: 91% / 9%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Aleksandar Vukic
35th · below avg
Return
Matteo Berrettini
35th · below avg
Aleksandar Vukic
12th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#40
model rank
#145
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
AUS
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Aleksandar Vukic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | Metz | Hard | R16 | Matteo Berrettini | 7-6(5) 6-3 |
| 2024-03-11 | Phoenix CH | Hard | SF | Matteo Berrettini | 7-6(2) 7-6(2) |
| 2023-03-13 | Phoenix CH | Hard | R16 | Matteo Berrettini | 7-5 7-6(5) |