── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Hubert Hurkacz
59%41%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 50% / 50%
Grass: 64% / 36%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Hubert Hurkacz
94th · elite
Return
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg
Hubert Hurkacz
48th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#38
model rank
#60
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
POL
196cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Hubert Hurkacz
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard2–1
Grass1–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | Cagliari CH | Clay | QF | Hubert Hurkacz | 4-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023-01-02 | United Cup | Hard | RR | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 3-6 6-3 |
| 2021-06-28 | Wimbledon | Grass | SF | Matteo Berrettini | 6-3 6-0 6-7(3) 6-4 |
| 2019-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R128 | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2018-01-15 | Australian Open | Hard | Q2 | Matteo Berrettini | 7-6(5) 6-3 |