── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Casper Ruud
32%68%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 27% / 73%
Grass: 92% / 8%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Return
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg
Casper Ruud
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#38
model rank
#11
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
NOR
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Casper Ruud
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–2
Clay1–4
── 9 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-24 | Tokyo | Hard | R16 | Casper Ruud | 7-6(4) 6-2 |
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Casper Ruud | 7-5 2-0 RET |
| 2023-01-02 | United Cup | Hard | RR | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-08-29 | Us Open | Hard | QF | Casper Ruud | 6-1 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2022-07-18 | Gstaad | Clay | F | Casper Ruud | 4-6 7-6(4) 6-2 |
| 2021-05-03 | Madrid Masters | Clay | SF | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2020-09-14 | Rome Masters | Clay | QF | Casper Ruud | 4-6 6-3 7-6(5) |
| 2020-08-31 | Us Open | Hard | R32 | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 6-4 6-2 |
| 2019-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Casper Ruud | 6-4 7-5 6-3 |