── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Tomas Barrios Vera
74%26%
Hard: 77% / 23%
Clay: 79% / 21%
Grass: 85% / 15%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Tomas Barrios Vera
22th · below avg
Return
Matteo Berrettini
35th · below avg
Tomas Barrios Vera
42th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#40
model rank
#142
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
CHI
196cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Tomas Barrios Vera
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Rio de Janeiro | Clay | R32 | Matteo Berrettini | 7-6(1) 7-5 |
| 2016-09-05 | Italy F28 | Clay | QF | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 6-3 |