── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Jurij Rodionov
81%19%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 93% / 7%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Jurij Rodionov
14th · poor
Return
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg
Jurij Rodionov
17th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#38
model rank
#155
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
AUT
196cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Jurij Rodionov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 | Davis Cup Finals QF: ITA vs AUT | Hard | RR | Matteo Berrettini | 6-3 7-6(4) |