── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Jurij Rodionov
76%24%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 87% / 13%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Jurij Rodionov
12th · poor
Return
Matteo Berrettini
35th · below avg
Jurij Rodionov
18th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#40
model rank
#150
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
AUT
196cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Jurij Rodionov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 | Davis Cup Finals QF: ITA vs AUT | Hard | RR | Matteo Berrettini | 6-3 7-6(4) |