── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Aleksandar Kovacevic
72%28%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 96% / 4%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Aleksandar Kovacevic
61th · average
Return
Matteo Berrettini
39th · below avg
Aleksandar Kovacevic
2th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#37
model rank
#124
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
USA
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Aleksandar Kovacevic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | R128 | Matteo Berrettini | 6-7(3) 6-1 6-4 |