── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Matteo Berrettini 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Matteo Berrettini
Giulio Zeppieri
76%24%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 87% / 13%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Giulio Zeppieri
52th · average
Return
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg
Giulio Zeppieri
4th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#38
model rank
#136
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
ITA
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Matteo BerrettiniGiulio Zeppieri
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-13StockholmHardR32Matteo Berrettini6-4 6-2