── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Lorenzo Musetti
35%65%
Hard: 38% / 62%
Clay: 34% / 66%
Grass: 73% / 27%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Return
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#38
model rank
#12
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ITA
196cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Lorenzo Musetti
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Grass1–0
Hard0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R16 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2024-06-10 | Stuttgart | Grass | SF | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 6-0 |
| 2022-10-17 | Naples | Hard | F | Lorenzo Musetti | 7-6(5) 6-2 |