── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Matteo Berrettini 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Matteo Berrettini
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
56%44%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 98% / 2%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
38th · below avg
Return
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
66th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#38
model rank
#51
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
ARG
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Matteo BerrettiniJuan Manuel Cerundolo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR16Matteo Berrettini6-3 7-6(2) 7-6(6)