── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Jacob Fearnley
81%19%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 89% / 11%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Return
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#38
model rank
#158
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
GBR
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Jacob Fearnley
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 7-6(0) |