── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Titouan Droguet
51%49%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 92% / 8%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Titouan Droguet
50th · average
Return
Matteo Berrettini
39th · below avg
Titouan Droguet
56th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#37
model rank
#41
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
FRA
196cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Titouan Droguet
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R128 | Matteo Berrettini | 3-6 6-1 6-4 |