── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mariano Navone a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Mariano Navone
47%53%
Hard: 77% / 23%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 97% / 3%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Return
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg
Mariano Navone
97th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#38
model rank
#32
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ARG
196cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Mariano Navone
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay3–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | Cagliari CH | Clay | R16 | Matteo Berrettini | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R64 | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-04-01 | Marrakech | Clay | SF | Matteo Berrettini | 6-7(4) 6-3 6-2 |