── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Mariano Navone
53%47%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 50% / 50%
Grass: 96% / 4%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Mariano Navone
33th · below avg
Return
Matteo Berrettini
39th · below avg
Mariano Navone
96th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#37
model rank
#50
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ARG
196cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Mariano Navone
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–2
Clay3–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | R64 | Mariano Navone | 3-6 6-3 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2026-08-04 | Canada Masters | Hard | R128 | Mariano Navone | 6-3 6-7(5) 6-3 |
| 2026-04-28 | Cagliari CH | Clay | R16 | Matteo Berrettini | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R64 | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-04-01 | Marrakech | Clay | SF | Matteo Berrettini | 6-7(4) 6-3 6-2 |