── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Raphael Collignon 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Raphael Collignon
41%59%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 53% / 47%
Grass: 94% / 6%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Return
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#38
model rank
#23
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
BEL
196cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Raphael Collignon
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | Davis Cup Finals SF: ITA vs BEL | Hard | RR | Matteo Berrettini | 6-3 6-4 |