── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Raphael Collignon
53%47%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 88% / 12%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Return
Matteo Berrettini
35th · below avg
Raphael Collignon
50th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#40
model rank
#55
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
BEL
196cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Raphael Collignon
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | Davis Cup Finals SF: ITA vs BEL | Hard | RR | Matteo Berrettini | 6-3 6-4 |