── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Fils 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Berrettini
Arthur Fils
24%76%
Hard: 26% / 74%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 75% / 25%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Arthur Fils
93th · elite
Return
Matteo Berrettini
39th · below avg
Arthur Fils
95th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#37
model rank
#6
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
FRA
196cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Berrettini■ Arthur Fils
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 7-5 3-6 6-3 |
| 2024-09-25 | Tokyo | Hard | R16 | Arthur Fils | 6-7(5) 0-0 RET |