── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Martin Damm
70%30%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 94% / 6%
Grass: 47% / 53%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Martin Damm
80th · strong
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
47th · average
Martin Damm
5th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#29
model rank
#87
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
GRE
country
USA
193cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Stefanos Tsitsipas■ Martin Damm
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-04Canada MastersHardR128Stefanos Tsitsipas6-4 6-4