── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Novak Djokovic 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Novak Djokovic
19%81%
Hard: 16% / 84%
Clay: 37% / 63%
Grass: 3% / 97%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
47th · average
Novak Djokovic
97th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#29
model rank
#3
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
SRB
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Stefanos Tsitsipas■ Novak Djokovic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass0–1
Clay0–6
Hard2–6
── 15 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-01WimbledonGrassR64Novak Djokovic6-3 6-4 6-2
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsClayQFNovak Djokovic6-3 7-6(3)
2023-01-16Australian OpenHardFNovak Djokovic6-3 7-6(4) 7-6(5)
2022-11-14Tour FinalsHardRRNovak Djokovic6-4 7-6(4)
2022-10-31Paris MastersHardSFNovak Djokovic6-2 3-6 7-6(4)
2022-10-03AstanaHardFNovak Djokovic6-3 6-4
2022-05-09Rome MastersClayFNovak Djokovic6-0 7-6(5)
2021-05-31Roland GarrosClayFNovak Djokovic6-7(6) 2-6 6-3 6-2 6-4
2021-05-10Rome MastersClayQFNovak Djokovic4-6 7-5 7-5
2020-09-28Roland GarrosClaySFNovak Djokovic6-3 6-2 5-7 4-6 6-1
2020-02-24DubaiHardFNovak Djokovic6-3 6-4
2019-10-28Paris MastersHardQFNovak Djokovic6-1 6-2
2019-10-07Shanghai MastersHardQFStefanos Tsitsipas3-6 7-5 6-3
2019-05-06Madrid MastersClayFNovak Djokovic6-3 6-4
2018-08-06Canada MastersHardR16Stefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-7(5) 6-3