── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Fabio Fognini
77%23%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 57% / 43%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Fabio Fognini
4th · poor
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average
Fabio Fognini
43th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#45
model rank
#148
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
ITA
193cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Stefanos Tsitsipas■ Fabio Fognini
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay3–0
Hard2–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-15 | Gstaad | Clay | QF | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2022-04-11 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R32 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-3 6-0 |
| 2021-10-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 2-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2019-05-13 | Rome Masters | Clay | R16 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2018-10-15 | Stockholm | Hard | SF | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-3 6-2 |