── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Kei Nishikori
70%30%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 27% / 73%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Kei Nishikori
31th · below avg
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average
Kei Nishikori
77th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#45
model rank
#119
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
JPN
193cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Stefanos Tsitsipas■ Kei Nishikori
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–2
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 7-6(6) 6-4 |
| 2024-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Kei Nishikori | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2021-03-22 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-3 3-6 6-1 |
| 2018-10-01 | Tokyo | Hard | QF | Kei Nishikori | 6-3 6-3 |