── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Yoshihito Nishioka
84%16%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 93% / 7%
Grass: 71% / 29%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Yoshihito Nishioka
23th · below avg
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
47th · average
Yoshihito Nishioka
56th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#29
model rank
#167
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
GRE
country
JPN
193cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Stefanos Tsitsipas■ Yoshihito Nishioka
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-28TokyoHardQ1Stefanos Tsitsipas7-5 6-2
2021-05-17LyonClayQFStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-4