Stefanos TsitsipasStefanos Tsitsipas
5–10
head to head
Daniil MedvedevDaniil Medvedev
── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniil Medvedev 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Daniil Medvedev
24%76%
Hard: 20% / 80%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 21% / 79%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#45
model rank
#5
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
RUS
193cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Stefanos Tsitsipas■ Daniil Medvedev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard4–8
Clay1–2
── 15 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16DohaHardR16Stefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-4
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersHardR16Daniil Medvedev7-6(3) 6-3
2023-10-23ViennaHardSFDaniil Medvedev6-4 7-6(6)
2023-05-08Rome MastersClaySFDaniil Medvedev7-5 7-5
2022-11-14Tour FinalsHardRRStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-7(11) 7-6(1)
2022-08-15Cincinnati MastersHardSFStefanos Tsitsipas7-6(6) 3-6 6-3
2022-01-17Australian OpenHardSFDaniil Medvedev7-6(5) 4-6 6-4 6-1
2021-05-31Roland GarrosClayQFStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 7-6(3) 7-5
2021-02-08Australian OpenHardSFDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-2 7-5
2019-11-11Tour FinalsHardRRStefanos Tsitsipas7-6(5) 6-4
2019-10-07Shanghai MastersHardSFDaniil Medvedev7-6(5) 7-5
2019-04-15Monte Carlo MastersClayR16Daniil Medvedev6-2 1-6 6-4
2018-10-22BaselHardQFDaniil Medvedev6-4 3-6 6-3
2018-08-27US OpenHardR64Daniil Medvedev6-4 6-3 4-6 6-3
2018-03-19Miami MastersHardR128Daniil Medvedev2-6 6-4 6-2