── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Jordan Thompson
69%31%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 96% / 4%
Grass: 33% / 67%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Jordan Thompson
65th · average
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
47th · average
Jordan Thompson
62th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#29
model rank
#80
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
AUS
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Stefanos Tsitsipas■ Jordan Thompson
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
Hard2–1
Grass1–0
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersClayR32Stefanos Tsitsipas4-6 6-4 6-2
2024-01-15Australian OpenHardR64Stefanos Tsitsipas4-6 7-6(6) 6-2 7-6(4)
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersHardR64Jordan Thompson7-6(0) 4-6 7-6(5)
2022-06-27WimbledonGrassR64Stefanos Tsitsipas6-2 6-3 7-5
2019-07-29WashingtonHardR16Stefanos Tsitsipas6-3 7-6(4)