── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Jordan Thompson
61%39%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 95% / 5%
Grass: 35% / 65%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Jordan Thompson
58th · average
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average
Jordan Thompson
64th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#45
model rank
#80
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
AUS
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Stefanos Tsitsipas■ Jordan Thompson
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard2–1
Grass1–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R32 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 4-6 6-4 6-2 |
| 2024-01-15 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 4-6 7-6(6) 6-2 7-6(4) |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Jordan Thompson | 7-6(0) 4-6 7-6(5) |
| 2022-06-27 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-2 6-3 7-5 |
| 2019-07-29 | Washington | Hard | R16 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-3 7-6(4) |