── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Alexander Bublik
51%49%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 20% / 80%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Alexander Bublik
89th · strong
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
47th · average
Alexander Bublik
47th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#29
model rank
#30
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
KAZ
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Stefanos Tsitsipas■ Alexander Bublik
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-2 7-5 |
| 2020-02-24 | Dubai | Hard | R16 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 7-6(1) 6-4 |
| 2020-02-17 | Marseille | Hard | SF | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 7-5 6-3 |