── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Alexandre Muller
73%27%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 84% / 16%
Grass: 74% / 26%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Alexandre Muller
27th · below avg
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average
Alexandre Muller
37th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#45
model rank
#133
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
FRA
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Stefanos TsitsipasAlexandre Muller
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay20
Hard20
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR128Stefanos Tsitsipas6-2 3-0 RET
2025-08-25Us OpenHardR128Stefanos Tsitsipas4-6 6-0 6-1 7-6(5)
2025-05-07Rome MastersClayR64Stefanos Tsitsipas6-2 7-6(3)
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersHardR32Stefanos Tsitsipas6-3 7-5