── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Arthur Rinderknech
58%42%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 39% / 61%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Arthur Rinderknech
91th · elite
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
47th · average
Arthur Rinderknech
20th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#29
model rank
#45
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
FRA
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Stefanos Tsitsipas■ Arthur Rinderknech
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-17GstaadClayQFStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 3-6 6-3
2026-02-09RotterdamHardR32Stefanos Tsitsipas7-5 6-3