── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Arthur Rinderknech
52%48%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 80% / 20%
Grass: 44% / 56%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Arthur Rinderknech
87th · strong
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average
Arthur Rinderknech
19th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#45
model rank
#49
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
FRA
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Stefanos TsitsipasArthur Rinderknech
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09RotterdamHardR32Stefanos Tsitsipas7-5 6-3