── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Aleksandar Vukic
80%20%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 94% / 6%
Grass: 60% / 40%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Aleksandar Vukic
35th · below avg
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
47th · average
Aleksandar Vukic
12th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#29
model rank
#145
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
AUS
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Stefanos Tsitsipas■ Aleksandar Vukic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AdelaideHardR32Aleksandar Vukic7-6(3) 7-6(5)
2024-02-19Los CabosHardR16Stefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-0