── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Denis Shapovalov
58%42%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 56% / 44%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#45
model rank
#66
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
GRE
country
CAN
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Stefanos Tsitsipas■ Denis Shapovalov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–5
Clay2–0
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R128 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-2 3-6 6-4 |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2023-04-17 | Barcelona | Clay | R16 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2020-01-06 | Atp Cup | Hard | RR | Denis Shapovalov | 7-6(6) 7-6(4) |
| 2019-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R16 | Denis Shapovalov | 4-6 6-3 7-6(3) |
| 2018-04-16 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R64 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2018-01-15 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-1 6-3 7-6(5) |