── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
51%49%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 72% / 28%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
79th · strong
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
46th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#45
model rank
#48
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
ARG
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Stefanos TsitsipasTomas Martin Etcheverry
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayR128Stefanos Tsitsipas7-5 6-3 6-4
2024-04-08Monte Carlo MastersClayR32Stefanos Tsitsipas6-1 6-0