── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
67%33%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 74% / 26%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
80th · strong
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
47th · average
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
35th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#29
model rank
#72
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
ARG
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Stefanos Tsitsipas■ Tomas Martin Etcheverry
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
Clay2–0
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-10-01TokyoHardR32Stefanos Tsitsipas4-6 6-3 6-4
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayR128Stefanos Tsitsipas7-5 6-3 6-4
2024-04-08Monte Carlo MastersClayR32Stefanos Tsitsipas6-1 6-0